Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 936.393980 1063.814844 1206.960008 1380.602540 1586.767175 1825.245277 2124.182236
2025-05-04 762.441737 930.533595 1137.521394 1414.893298 1782.640020 2261.918621 2948.168841
2025-05-11 674.111827 857.561906 1095.988414 1435.403704 1917.731344 2597.250925 3662.697577
2025-05-18 620.453999 818.330989 1088.031707 1493.476607 2107.797009 3039.852793 4638.162792
2025-05-25 566.965550 769.391804 1055.941968 1506.217524 2225.781977 3388.693969 5546.528302
2025-06-01 516.922911 718.324333 1012.635182 1492.913296 2296.796964 3671.030832 6411.947388
2025-06-08 475.711683 674.978550 974.478026 1480.075835 2362.849185 3952.939390 7351.246861
2025-06-15 450.198174 652.145121 964.336114 1509.787966 2504.502069 4397.431079 8756.529511
2025-06-22 412.447682 606.606934 913.057147 1462.396529 2497.763369 4553.335860 9574.994798
2025-06-29 381.203488 568.573658 870.061063 1423.653206 2500.145082 4726.354728 10490.523995
2025-07-06 352.509479 532.295693 826.540990 1378.524639 2482.505151 4852.236311 11330.207484
2025-07-13 341.869207 524.677865 830.680352 1421.380665 2648.622586 5421.471807 13604.272599
2025-07-20 325.282392 506.785205 817.037283 1432.290301 2757.823845 5905.792687 15935.260737
2025-07-27 312.856276 495.138082 813.652986 1463.601532 2919.686438 6571.975972 19261.681437
2025-08-03 300.558639 482.506663 806.889995 1486.501052 3065.747057 7239.100268 23032.767490
2025-08-10 293.961070 479.377014 817.371150 1546.688778 3313.219623 8272.229569 29065.398436
2025-08-17 282.244209 466.002532 806.930637 1560.165417 3447.158019 9016.415597 34519.217717
2025-08-24 268.448213 447.780882 785.398691 1546.209779 3507.321044 9550.378616 39475.389657
2025-08-31 255.867918 430.954936 765.197939 1532.811723 3566.876920 10106.397461 45162.654672
2025-09-07 248.750287 423.943991 764.129666 1563.856150 3757.284408 11199.318694 55473.227625
2025-09-14 234.409779 402.152130 730.995478 1514.336308 3705.506056 11375.772444 59942.012474
2025-09-21 221.973700 383.348741 702.762557 1473.864399 3674.423418 11629.375434 65419.968952
2025-09-28 209.822270 364.443016 673.043035 1426.738586 3615.678710 11757.307946 70189.947662